NFL Week 16 odds: Buffalo at Miami
It’s two teams playing out the string – for yet another season – as Buffalo meets Miami on Sunday. When they met in Buffalo last month, the Bills won 19-14 as Buffalo RB C.J. Spiller had 130 scrimmage yards & CB Leodis McKelvin a 79-yard punt return for a score. The Bills defense limited Miami to 184 total yards.
Buffalo enters off a 50-17 blowout to Seattle in Toronto. Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 21-of-38 passes for 217 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions for the Bills (5-9), who played a regular- season game in Toronto for a fifth straight season. C.J. Spiller carried the ball 17 times for 103 yards and a score for Buffalo, which was mathematically knocked out of playoff contention for a 13th consecutive season — the NFL’s longest active drought. Stevie Johnson caught eight passes for 115 yards and a touchdown.
The Dolphins beat Jacksonville 24-3. Rookie Ryan Tannehill threw a pair of touchdown passes and former Miami starter Chad Henne struggled in his return to Sun Life Stadium. He left as a free agent to sign with Jacksonville in March and the Dolphins selected Tannehill with the eighth overall pick in the draft. Tannehill won the job in a training camp battle with Matt Moore and has led the Dolphins (6-8) to as many wins as they had all of last year. Tannehill completed 22-of-28 passes for 220 yards without an interception and also ran for 52 yards on eight carries. Reggie Bush added 104 yards on the ground for Miami, which dominated for most of the second half and scored the game’s final 24 points. The Dolphin defense also stopped the Jaguars three times on fourth down inside Miami territory.
The Dolphins had one of their most impressive offensive outings (180 yards rushing, 209 yards passing) in their Week 15 beatdown of the Jaguars. Seattle crushed Buffalo last weekend with the Bills’ defense giving up several big plays on the ground as well as through the air. Miami has improved its execution in recent weeks and is tough to defend when there is a balanced approach with its play calling. Look for offensive coordinator Mike Sherman to rush the football with Bush while mixing in high-percentage passes for his rookie quarterback on early downs.
WAGERWEB.COM OPENING ODDS: Dolphins -4 (41.5) Check current lines
BILLS NOTES: QB RYAN FITZPATRICK (78) surpassed JACK KEMP (77) last week for 3rd-most TD passes in Bills history. Fitzpatrick (2,935) needs 65 pass yards to reach 3,000 for 3rd season in row. Needs 3 TD passes to surpass career-best of 24 in ’11 … RB C.J. SPILLER (1,047) has reached 1,000 rush yards for 1st time in career. Averages NFL-best among RBs with 6.5 yards per carry. In past 2 vs. Mia., Spiller is averaging 148.5 scrimmage yards per game (182 rush, 115 receiving) … WR STEVE JOHNSON (891) needs 109 rec. yards to reach 1,000 for season & become 1st Bill with 1,000 rec. yards in 3 consecutive seasons. Posted season-best in receptions (8) & receiving yards (115) last week … TE SCOTT CHANDLER (42) needs 8 receptions to become 3rd Bills TE to reach 50 in season. Has 6 TD receptions in 2012, tying his career high (2011) … DE MARIO WILLIAMS (10.5) is 1st Bill since 2009 to register 10+ sacks in season. Needs 4 sacks to surpass career-best of 14 in ’07. Has 5.5 sacks in 6 career games vs. Mia … PR LEODIS MC KELVIN had 79-yard PR-TD in last game vs. Mia. McKelvin has NFL-best 18.7 PR avg.
DOLPHINS NOTES: : Club has won 3 of past 4 at home vs. Bills … QB RYAN TANNEHILL had career-best 123.2 passer rating with 2 TDs vs. 0 INTs last week. Tannehill (2,929) has most passing yards by rookie in Dolphins history. Team is 5-1 when Tannehill has 90+ rating … RB REGGIE BUSH is averaging 121.3 scrimmage yards per game in December in past 2 seasons (849 in 7 games). Posted 2nd 100-yard rush game of season last week. Bush (895) needs 105 rush yards to reach 1,000 in consecutive seasons. Rushed for careerbest 203 yards vs. Bills on 12/18/11 … WR BRIAN HARTLINE (1,002) has reached 1,000 receiving yards for 1st time in career … Since ’08, TE ANTHONY FASANO has team-high 23 TD receptions…DE CAMERON WAKE (14) needs half sack to surpass single-season career-best (14 in ’10). Wake (42) has most sacks by Dolphin in 1st 4 seasons of career … LB KARLOS DANSBY leads team with 111 tackles … DE JARED ODRICK has 3 sacks in past 4 games.
WAGERWEB.COM TRENDS: Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Miami. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Bills are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Miami.