College football odds: No. 13 Stanford at No. 2 Oregon
The Pac-12 North title is on the line for Oregon on Saturday night as the Ducks face easily their toughest defensive test of the season in Stanford. Still, Oregon is a 20-point favorite on WagerWeb.com.
The Ducks would win the North and host the Pac-12 Championship Game in two weeks vs. Saturday’s USC-UCLA winner by beating the Cardinal. Stanford would win the North with a win vs. Oregon and next week at UCLA. Should the Cardinal beat Oregon and lose to the Bruins, Oregon would win the division by closing its regular season with a victory at Oregon State.
Stanford (8-2, 6-1) has won three straight since a loss at Notre Dame. Last week, redshirt freshman Kevin Hogan made his first start and threw for 254 yards and three touchdowns in his first collegiate start, and Stanford overcame four turnovers to rally past No. 13 Oregon State 27-23. Cardinal running back Stepfan Taylor ran for 114 yards and a touchdown, eclipsing 1,000 yards rushing for the third straight season. The Cardinal lead the nation in rushing defense and are No. 12 in scoring defense.
Oregon won its 13th straight game last week, which is the longest active streak in college football. The Ducks started slow but routed Cal 59-17. Freshman QB Marcus Mariota completed 27 of 34 passes for 377 yards with six touchdowns and no interceptions for a crazy a 230.79 passing efficiency rating. Oregon was outrushed 236 yards to 180. But the Ducks’ receiving corps caught seven total touchdown passes for 395 yards.
The Ducks have scored 42 or more points in 13 straight games, including 11 of 49 or more, marking longest streak of 40-plus points in the BCS era. UO has scored 30 or more points in an NCAA-record 23 straight games. Marcus Mariota’s 28 TD passes are the most by a freshman in Pac-12 history, breaking Ortege Jenkins’ previous mark of 19 with Arizona in 1997. Mariota’s completion percentage of 71.7% is currently higher than former Oklahoma quarterback Sam Bradford’s NCAA freshman record of 69.5%. Mariota is the NCAA leader in passing efficiency at 176.96, which would best the Pac-12 record of 175.0 set by ASU’s Rudy Carpenter in 2005.
Oregon has won all but one of the last 10 meetings against Stanford, falling 51-42 on the road in 2009 – one of only two Pac-12 defeats in 34 conference games under Chip Kelly. The Cardinal lead the all-time series, 44-30-1, while the Ducks hold a 10-9 edge at Autzen. The past two games in this series have been close at halftime before Oregon pulled away in the second half.
WagerWeb.com trends: Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. Cardinal are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Cardinal are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oregon.