Tuesday college basketball odds: Alabama at Ole Miss
Ole Miss likely was an NCAA Tournament at-large team before the Rebels laid a monster egg and lost Saturday at Mississippi State, probably the SEC’s worst team. Now it’s a must-win for Mississippi on Tuesday against Alabama, another bubble team. Ole Miss opened as a 6-point favorite on WagerWeb.com. Check our current lines.
Ole Miss (21-8, 10-6) lost 73-67 to Mississippi State as the Bulldogs ended a 13-game losing streak. Murphy Holloway led the Rebels with 22 points and 19 rebounds. The SEC’s leading scorer Marshall Henderson had 16 points, but shot just 4 of 19 from the field, including 3 of 18 from 3-point range. The Rebels shot just 25 of 74 (33.8 percent) from the field. Ole Miss had a 17-2 record and was the 16th-ranked team in the nation just a month ago, but has now dropped six out of the past 10. Those losses include setbacks against South Carolina and Mississippi State, two of the bottom three teams in the league.
Henderson has passed Chris Warren for the Ole Miss single-season 3-point field goal record with 114 3FG on the year and ranks second in the nation averaging 3.9 made 3-pointers per game. Ole Miss is 15-1 this season when the Rebels force 15-plus turnovers and just 6-7 when they force fewer than 15. The Rebels are 19-4 this season when they have the same or less TOs than opponent and 2-4 when turning the ball over more than their opponent.
Alabama lost 64-52 at No. 8 Florida on Saturday. The Gators used a 15-0 run late in the second half — fueled by Prather — to pull away from the Crimson Tide and remain unbeaten (14-0) at home. Florida outscored Alabama 23-5 over the final 10 minutes of the game. Trevor Releford led the Tide (19-10, 11-5) with 12 points. Trevor Lacey and Nick Jacobs added 11 points apiece. The Tide really went cold from the field, making just two baskets after taking a 45-37 lead with 12:23 remaining.
Alabama ranks second the conference in defense, allowing just 58.4 ppg, and second in the league in 3-point FG defense with teams shooting just 30.1% from behind the arc. The Tide are the worst rebounding squad in the league pulling down 32.5 rpg, while the Rebels rank second in the SEC grabbing 39.4 rpg.
Tuesday’s game will be the 171st meeting between the two schools. The Crimson Tide hold a 117-53 lead in the series, which began in 1921. The teams have split their season series in 11 of the last 14 years, including last season when Alabama won 69-67 in Tuscaloosa and Ole Miss prevailed 60-51 in Oxford. This marks the first season since 1968 the two former SEC West rivals have not played a home-and-home series in the same year. Ole Miss leads the series 40-38 in games played in Oxford, and the Rebels have won 12 of the last 15 meetings at Tad Smith Coliseum.
WagerWeb.com trends: Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings. Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Mississippi. Underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Crimson Tide are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.